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Kevin Samel

Options & Derivatives Analyst

Kevin Samel covers options flow, dealer positioning, and volatility for StreetAlpha. He focuses on translating order-book mechanics into setups active traders can read on the tape.

optionsgamma exposuredealer positioningvolatilityIVwhale flowdark poolderivativesGreeks
whale-flow WDC Wednesday, October 7, 2026
WDC Options Flow Nets Negative $40.2M After a 6.9% Drop
WDC options flow nets negative $40.2M after Tuesday's 6.9% drop. Three $450 call hits and a $370 December put frame the tape.
macro Wednesday, October 7, 2026
The AI Capex Wall: Funding Gaps Replace Demand as the Constraint
Capex at the big five tops $800B in 2026 and free cash flow turns negative. Financing, not demand, is now the constraint to watch.
macro USO Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Oil Slides as Aramco Cuts Asia Prices Against a Hike Call
Aramco set November Arab Light to Asia at $5 under benchmark against an expected hike. WTI settled at $89.43 and Brent at $100.32.
whale-flow SPCX Monday, October 5, 2026
SPCX Options Flow: $70.3M Bullish Tape, but Named Prints Are Small
SPCX carries $70.3M in net bullish premium, but the eight flagged prints total only $0.19M. Here is what the tape does and doesn't tell us.
macro QQQ Monday, October 5, 2026
Nasdaq Sets a Record as the Benchmark Yield Holds 5.3%
Nasdaq printed a record 27,450.88 on Monday while the 10-year yield sat near 5.34%. Breadth is thin, and the long end is the variable that matters.
whale-flow TSLA Monday, October 5, 2026
TSLA Options Flow Shows $76M Bullish Tilt, But the Tape Tells a More Cautious Story
TSLA drew $76M in net bullish premium today, but scattered strikes and ascending put fills hint at collar activity ahead of Oct. 21 earnings.
whale-flow GOOGL Friday, October 2, 2026
GOOGL Options Flow: $54.5M Net Bearish With Puts Stacking Into January
GOOGL saw $54.5M in net bearish options premium today. Put activity clusters around $320-$325 strikes with January expiries, signaling protection buying…
whale-flow MSFT Monday, September 28, 2026
MSFT Call Flow Stacks Bullish With $74.5M Net Premium
Institutional flow in MSFT leans heavily bullish today with $74.5M in net premium. The November $580 calls and near-term $517.50 strikes draw repeated hits.
macro Friday, September 25, 2026
Yields Hit 19-Year Highs, Novo Nordisk Slides, and Cat Products Emerge as Pet Sector Bright Spot
Treasury yields climbed to 2007 levels on Fed hike bets, Novo Nordisk sank 7.5% after a disappointing Capital Markets Day, and cat product sales are…
whale-flow MU Wednesday, September 23, 2026
MU Sees $145M Bullish Options Flow Ahead of September 30 Earnings
Micron draws $144.9M in net bullish premium as call buyers stack into strikes just above spot. Earnings loom September 30.
whale-flow MSTR Monday, September 21, 2026
MSTR Sees $56M Net Bullish Premium as Call Flow Targets January 2027
MSTR logged $56.1M in net bullish options premium today, with January 2027 $225 calls drawing the largest single ticket as the stock trades above $150.
whale-flow SPCX Friday, September 18, 2026
SPCX Sees $53M Net Bearish Flow as Puts Pile Up Near $150-155
SPCX logged $53.3M in net bearish premium today. Put flow clustered at $150-155 strikes, but matching call activity at $155 suggests hedging or spread…
news Friday, September 18, 2026
Senators Push FTC to Investigate Amazon and Walmart AI Shopping Bots Over 'Made in USA' Data
Senators Baldwin and Scott want the FTC to probe whether Amazon and Walmart's AI shopping assistants deliberately hide American-made products from consumers.
macro Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Clarity Act Fails Cloture Vote, Leaving Crypto Market Structure in Limbo
The Senate rejected a motion to proceed on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act 49-50, killing the industry's best chance at a federal framework before…
macro Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Bessent Bond Buyback Details Due Today as Treasury Chief Warns FX Traders
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reveals buyback operation sizing today, with analysts eyeing $5B to $6B. The move departs from the department's predictable…
whale-flow MU Monday, September 7, 2026
MU Sees $141M in Net Bullish Flow as Calls Cluster at $1000 Strike
Institutional flow tilted heavily bullish on Micron today with $141.4M in net call premium. The $1000 and $1100 strikes drew repeat hits across September…
whale-flow MSTR Friday, September 4, 2026
MSTR Options Flow: $128M Bullish Premium Hides a Collar Structure
MSTR saw $128.4M in net bullish options premium today, but the flow looks more like a collar than a directional bet. The $155 strike is where the action is.
macro Friday, September 4, 2026
Diesel Hits $5.85 Record as Refinery Disruptions Ripple Through Supply Chain
Diesel prices reach a record $5.85 nationally as wars in Ukraine and Iran knock out roughly 8% of global refining capacity, feeding inflation concerns.
whale-flow AAPL Wednesday, September 2, 2026
AAPL Options Flow Tilts Bullish With $67.9M Net Premium on CEO Transition
Apple saw $67.9M in net bullish options premium today as repeated call buying clusters at the $325 strike ahead of the September 9 product launch.
whale-flow TSLA Monday, August 31, 2026
TSLA Sees $60.9M Net Bearish Premium Despite Steady Call Accumulation
Tesla options flow shows $60.9M net bearish premium today, with multiple call sweeps near the $350 strike that look more like gamma hedges than directional…
whale-flow NVDA Friday, August 28, 2026
NVDA Options Flow Shows $266M Bullish Net Premium After Earnings Gap
Institutional flow in NVDA options leans heavily bullish today with $266.4M net premium, concentrated in near-term calls as the stock consolidates after its…
macro Friday, August 28, 2026
LPL's Roach Says the Real Signal From Warsh May Hide in the Footnotes
Jeffrey Roach of LPL Financial says investors should scan the citations and footnotes of Chair Warsh's first Jackson Hole keynote for policy clues.
macro Friday, August 28, 2026
Kroszner: Warsh's Jackson Hole Silence on Guidance Won't Rattle Markets
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is unlikely to offer rate guidance at Jackson Hole, and markets have priced that in. Expect a quiet session with Treasury yields…
whale-flow AMD Wednesday, August 26, 2026
AMD Flow Shows $34.8M Bullish Skew as Institutions Load June 2027 Calls
Institutional flow in AMD netted $34.8M bullish today, with heavy call buying in June 2027 strikes ranging from $650 to $910.
whale-flow PLTR Monday, August 24, 2026
PLTR Options Flow: $145M Net Bearish Despite Surface Call Activity
Net premium in PLTR skewed $145M bearish today even as call flow dominated alerts. The mismatch suggests hedging, not conviction.
whale-flow INTC Friday, August 21, 2026
INTC Draws $37M in Net Bearish Premium as LEAPS Puts Stack Up
Intel options flow prints $37.3M bearish today, led by $1.55M in Jan 2027 $90 puts. Positioning reflects hedging against further dilution drag.
whale-flow MU Wednesday, August 19, 2026
MU Options Flow Shows $131M Net Put Premium as Stock Drops 7%
MU sees $131.4M in net bearish premium today with concentrated put activity at $940, but scattered call flow at extreme strikes muddies the directional read.
macro Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Treasury Expands Buybacks for Long Bonds, Yields Slide
Treasury's scaled-up buyback program targets $38B in Q3 2026, with today's 20-30Y operation drawing 3.5x oversubscription and pulling yields lower.
whale-flow AVGO Monday, August 17, 2026
AVGO Puts Draw $89M Net Bearish Flow Ahead of Earnings
Institutional traders pushed $89.2M in net bearish premium into AVGO options today, with repeated hits on puts spanning September 2026 through December 2028.
whale-flow RTX Friday, August 14, 2026
RTX Sees $116M in Bullish Options Flow as Defense Contracts Stack Up
Net premium impact hit $115.8M bullish in RTX today, with repeated institutional hits across call strikes from $200 to $260 through March 2027.
macro Friday, August 14, 2026
July Retail Sales Drop 0.6% on Cheaper Gas and Prime Day Payback
U.S. retail sales fell 0.6% in July to $763.6B, missing forecasts. Falling gas prices and a Prime Day hangover explain most of the pullback.
whale-flow NVDA Wednesday, August 12, 2026
NVDA Options Flow Turns Net Bearish by $52M Ahead of Earnings
NVDA logged $52.1M in net bearish options premium today. Flow clusters around August expiries as institutions position ahead of the Aug 26 earnings report.
whale-flow SNDK Friday, August 7, 2026
SNDK Options Flow Turns Bullish Despite 7% Stock Drop
SNDK sees $86.2M in net bullish options flow after earnings-driven selloff. October 1300 calls lead the positioning as traders bet on a rebound.
general SPY Wednesday, August 5, 2026
50 vs 200 Day Moving Average: Golden Cross, Death Cross, and the Honest Stats
Moving average crossovers are everywhere. Here's what backtests reveal about golden cross and death cross signals on the S&P 500.
whale-flow PLTR Wednesday, August 5, 2026
PLTR Call Flow Piles Into $160-165 Strikes Ahead of Q2 Print
Palantir saw $155.8M in net bullish options premium today, concentrated in $160 to $165 calls expiring Friday. The setup comes two days before Q2 earnings.
general Monday, August 3, 2026
RSI Divergence: Why It Fails More Than It Works
RSI divergence is one of the most overrated signals in retail TA. Here's why it fails, when it occasionally works, and what filters might help.
equities SHA Friday, July 31, 2026
Schaeffler Slashes 2028 Outlook as Auto Sector Weakness Bites
Schaeffler cut its 2028 revenue and margin targets, citing a darkening outlook for the auto industry. Shares slid in early Frankfurt trading.
whale-flow SOXL Monday, July 27, 2026
SOXL Puts Draw $66.6M Net Bearish Premium Amid Chip Sector Unwind
Institutional flow in SOXL tilted sharply bearish today, with net premium impact at negative $66.6M. Put activity concentrated in end-of-month expiries.
whale-flow TSLA Friday, July 24, 2026
TSLA Options Flow Shows $264M Net Bearish Premium After Earnings Miss
TSLA institutional options flow turned heavily bearish with $264M net selling premium. Put activity dominates near current levels following the Q2 earnings…
macro Friday, July 24, 2026
BofA's Hartnett: A Panicking Fed Is What the Bond Market Needs
Michael Hartnett argues that visible Fed resolve, even a rate hike, could be the catalyst to stabilize 10- and 30-year Treasuries trading near cycle highs.
equities GNRC Wednesday, July 22, 2026
Ariel Small Cap Value Concentrated Posts 12.9% Q2 Return, Lags Russell 2000 Value by 4 Points
Ariel's concentrated small cap strategy returned 12.94% gross in Q2 2026 but trailed the Russell 2000 Value Index's 17.19% gain. Data center demand lifted…
options Monday, July 20, 2026
Options Flow vs News: When the Tape Tells You Before the Headlines
Options flow frequently signals moves before news breaks. Here's how to read the tape, spot informed positioning, and avoid the traps that catch reactive…
whale-flow MU Monday, July 20, 2026
MU Options Flow Turns Defensive: $52.9M Net Bearish Premium Today
Institutional options flow in MU skews heavily bearish with $52.9M net put premium. Near-term expiries dominate the put activity.
news Monday, July 20, 2026
Stock Futures Higher as Mega-Cap Earnings Week Kicks Off
Futures edge up Monday with tech earnings in focus. Alphabet, Tesla and Intel report this week amid geopolitical tensions and a recent rotation out of…
whale-flow META Friday, July 10, 2026
META Sees $77.7M in Bullish Options Flow With August Calls in Focus
Institutional traders pushed $77.7M net bullish premium into META today, with the heaviest action clustered in August calls ahead of the July 29 earnings…
macro Friday, July 10, 2026
Hormuz Tanker Traffic Slows Again as US, Iran Trade Strikes
Tanker crossings through Hormuz dropped to 13 per day this week, down from 33, after Iran attacked three ships and the US retaliated with airstrikes.
whale-flow TSLA Monday, July 6, 2026
TSLA Net Options Flow Turns Sharply Negative Despite Q2 Delivery Beat
Tesla options flow flipped to $157M net bearish today. Put clusters at $395 and $390 suggest hedging ahead of July 22 earnings despite strong Q2 deliveries.
whale-flow SNDK Friday, July 3, 2026
SNDK Options Flow Turns Net Bearish Despite Street Price Targets Rising
Institutional options flow in SNDK printed $184M net bearish today. Put activity concentrates near $1,640 while call flow clusters at strikes far above spot.
macro Wednesday, July 1, 2026
The Yield Curve: What It Gets Right, What It Misses, and Why Timing Is Everything
The yield curve has predicted every recession since 1970. It has also stayed inverted for years before trouble arrived. Here is what the signal actually…
whale-flow AMD Wednesday, July 1, 2026
AMD Draws $79M in Bullish Options Premium Ahead of Advancing AI Event
Options flow in AMD skews heavily bullish today with $79.3M net premium. Call activity clusters around July expiries as traders position ahead of the July…